California’s Homelessness Crisis Updated: Here’s Where It Stands Now

The original text of this story was published June 9, 2021. It was updated in December 2023.

Back in 2018, California seemed ready to declare war on the state’s horrific homelessness crisis. Then-Gov. Jerry Brown struck a deal with legislators to pour $600 million into programs to prevent and treat homelessness. In the same year, voters approved a $4 billion bond issue to build low-income housing, and another $2 billion in bond money for more affordable housing with built-in mental health services.

Out of every 10,000 residents of California, 44 were homeless. That’s the highest rate in the country. The United States national average is 18 homeless people out of every 10,000.

The following year, new Gov. Gavin Newsom turned up the heat further, allocating $1 billion—the largest sum ever in the state’s budget for anti-homelessness measures. In January 2020, Newsom called the state’s homeless problem “a real emergency,” and “a disgrace.” He asked legislators for another $1.4 billion, the largest portion of it going to housing and healthcare service for the homeless population.

And yet, even with this massive spending push, homelessness in California shot up by more than 16 percent from 2018 to 2019, according to the Homelessness Policy Research Institute, a trend that showed no signs of abating in 2020, and likely grew worse. A report by the federal Department of Housing and Urban Development showed that from 2019 to 2020, homelessness in California jumped 6.8 percent. 

UPDATE, Dec. 11, 2023. The grim trend only continued during the pandemic, though it slowed somewhat. The point-in-time count taken in January 2022 showed that California’s homeless population grew by 6.2 percent since 2020, while nationwide homelessness showed just a 0.4 percent increase. Most of the growth was due to the large increase in the number of sheltered homeless individuals, a group which swelled by 17 percent.

Nonetheless, about half of all unsheltered homeless Americans were in California, per 2022 data—115,491 people. The state with the second highest number, Washington, counted just 12,668.

Out of every 10,000 residents of California, 44 were homeless. That’s the highest rate in the country. The United States national average is 18 homeless people out of every 10,000, according to federal  Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) data. In California, more than 57,000 people were found to be chronically homeless in 2022, meaning those who have been “unhoused continuously for a year or on at least four occasions within a three-year period,” according to the California Budget and Policy Center.

Data from 2023 was only partial as of early December—but nonetheless showed no signs that the homeless problem is abating. Of the 44 Continuums of Care (CoCs)—the entities designated by HUD to put evidence-based plans for reducing homelessness in place—24 had reported data.

Those CoCs found another 6 percent increase in the homeless population from 2022 to 2023, including a 1-3 percent hike in the unsheltered homeless population, and a 4.7 percent increase in sheltered homeless. But the limited data found that the situation was improving in some regions, mainly in Northern California. The nine northern CoCs that reported 2023 data showed a collective decline of 2.9 percent in their homeless population, driven mainly by a 30.4 percent decrease in the Richmond/Contra Costa County CoC, and a 21.7 percent drop counted by the CoC for Santa Rosa, Petaluma/Santa Rosa County.

The Staggering Scope of California’s Homeless Crisis

In April of 2021, the state unveiled a publicly accessible website compiling data on homelessness that had previously been nearly impossible to access, because it was spread over 44 separate, unconnected databases, according to a Los Angeles Times report. The new site revealed that though a point-in-time count in January of 2020 showed 161,548 people in some form of homelessness on the single night of the count, local homelessness service providers reported serving 248,130 people in 2020.

In the state’s most populous city, Los Angeles, the number of homeless individuals in a point-in-time (PIT) count taken in January 2020 had risen 16.1 percent from the 2019 count—a total of 41,290 homeless residents.

The discrepancy indicates the large numbers of people who move in and out of homelessness, and as result were not on the streets to be recorded during the January count.

The HUD report also showed that in California, the Santa Cruz-Watsonville metro area in 2020 carried the uneasy distinction of the highest population-adjusted homelessness rate in the United States, among regions with at least 250,000 people. Los Angeles ranked fourth nationwide.

In addition, nearly half of all unsheltered homeless people in the entire United States live in California, according to a 2019 report by the White House Council of Economic Advisers. More than seven of every 10 people experiencing homelessness in the state live in unsheltered conditions, according to HPRI statistics.

In the state’s most populous city, Los Angeles, the number of homeless individuals in a point-in-time (PIT) count taken in January 2020 had risen 16.1 percent from the 2019 count—a total of 41,290 homeless residents, according to the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority (LAHSA), the agency that administers about $70 million is federal, state, and local funding targeted to assist the homeless population.

Results of the 2021 January point-in-time count have not been compiled simply because the count itself was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Conducting the count, which is required by Congress, involves about 8,000 volunteers making direct contact with homeless people and entering homeless camps.

The count is necessary to obtain federal funding for homelessness programs, but the United States Department of Housing and Urban Development allowed a 2021 exemption for Los Angeles County, and agreed to keep federal funding levels in place. But the exemption also means that the effects of the pandemic on homelessness in the state remain largely unknown.

New Spending Fails to Stop Rising Numbers

Based on the previous two years’ stats, however, 2021’s homelessness numbers seem unlikely to show much, if any improvement. The Los Angeles numbers continued to rise despite the passage in March 2017 of Measure H—which added a quarter-cent to local sales tax specifically to fund housing and other services for the homeless population. That ballot measure followed Proposition HHH, passed in November of 2016, a $1.2 billion bond measure specifically designed to fund 10,000 housing units for people and families in L.A. County identified as “chronically” homeless.

Statewide, as of January 2020, federal statistics showed a homeless population in California of 151,278—about 10,000 more than the entire population of Pasadena—a number that represented a spike of 17 percent since 2018. But the real problem appears to be even worse.

In 2018, 88 percent of the homeless people who were placed in permanent housing by LAHSA remained in that housing and did not return to homelessness. The following year, LAHSA housed 22,769 homeless individuals, and another 18,395 were placed into interim housing. And yet, the county’s homeless population continued to grow.

Los Angeles, of course, is not alone. Bay Area counties also deal with a constantly growing homelessness crisis. The 2019 point-in-time count in San Francisco showed 8,011 homeless persons, a 6.8 percent jump from the previous count in 2017. Other Bay Area counties experienced even larger jumps, in terms of percentage. Homelessness in San Mateo County increased 20 percent between the two counts, while Santa Clara County saw a staggering increase of 31 percent.

Alameda and Contra Costa counties were even worse, with increases of 42.5 and 42.8 percent respectively.

Statewide, as of January 2020, federal statistics showed a homeless population in California of 151,278—about 10,000 more than the entire population of Pasadena—a number that represented a spike of 17 percent since 2018. But the real problem appears to be even worse. Homeless advocates generally agree that the federal numbers, compiled in the bi-annual volunteer counts—are significantly lower than the real numbers.

The federal definition of homelessness excludes couch surfers, people temporarily rooming with friends or family members, and those who manage to pay for transient motel rooms. The volunteer counts may also fail to tally numbers of people living in tent camps, if the volunteer counter arrives shortly after a camp has been rousted by police.

One recent count in Sacramento, conducted by UC Berkeley researchers using a broader definition of homelessness, ended up topping the federal number by a multiple of six.

That count used a new method that combined PIT numbers with “information from Homeless Management Information Systems (HMISs), which track the services provided by a homelessness crisis systems such as emergency shelter bed nights and street outreach interactions,” according to a UC Berkeley report. Unlike the bi-annual PIT counts, HMIS data is “continuously improved.”

A Brief History of Homelessness

The state and federal expenditures, housing programs, and bond issues have clearly failed to put the brakes on the crisis. How did the state—and for that matter, the country—arrive at this dismal reality?

Until the 1980s, a typical homeless “tramp” was white, male, and over 50 years old. Since then, the demographic makeup of the homeless population has shifted, with minorities carrying a disproportionate burden of the suffering.

The term “homelessness” first appeared in the 1870s, according to a 2018 report by the National Academy of Sciences, but at the time was used mainly as a catch-all for people who were commonly and derisively called “tramps,” that is, itinerant men who moved from place to place, most often taking advantage of the newly-created nationwide rail system, looking to pick up any work they could. At that time, and for decades to come, homelessness was seen primarily as a crisis of national character—an indication not of economic conditions but of the moral breakdown of family life. Homeless people, mostly men, were looked on as, basically, unworthy subhumans.

“As we utter the word tramp there arises straightway before us the spectacle of a lazy, shiftless, sauntering or swaggering, ill-conditioned, irreclaimable, incorrigible, cowardly, utterly depraved savage,” wrote Yale Law School Dean Francis Wayland in 1877, expressing a view typical throughout American society in that era.

A 1902 Los Angeles Times report on the sudden explosion of homelessness in the city’s Skid Row district described an area “swarming with tramps,” whom the reporter described as mostly “beastly drunk” and “filthy dirty” and covered with “tenants,” meaning bugs.

Then, and until the 1980s, a typical homeless “tramp” was white, male, and over 50 years old.

Since the “modern” era of homelessness, which the NAS report marks as beginning in the early 1980s, the demographic makeup of the homeless population has shifted, with minorities carrying a disproportionate burden of the suffering. In California, HUD statistics show African Americans making up 29.1 percent of the homeless population, compared to just 6.5 percent of the state’s population at-large. Native Americans are also overrepresented, at 1.6 percent of the state’s population, but 4.1 percent of the homeless population.

Latinx people comprise 31.9 percent of the homeless in California, which is actually less than their overall percentage of the state’s population, at 39.3 percent.

With the explosion of homelessness over the past four decades came a new and more rational understanding of the crisis. The primary driver of homelessness is now seen not as the moral turpitude of slovenly “tramps” and “bums,” but the shortage of affordable housing, a crisis in itself propelled by increasing income inequality and racial inequities.

Homelessness a ‘Complete, Abject Failure’ of Society

According to National Low Income Housing Coalition figures, 1.3 million renters in California, or 22 percent of all renters, bring home incomes that put them at or below the federal poverty line. Yet as of February 2020, fewer than 290,000 rental units in the state could be categorized as “affordable.” California rates have shot up at two times the national average over the past 10 years. And forget about owning a home. The median home price throughout the state listed at $759,500, as of Nov. 2023.

Californians are losing their homes at a faster rate than government and social services can put homeless people into housing. In Los Angeles County alone, 207 people each day find their way out of homelessness, but, 227 people lose their homes.

Homelessness rises at the point when median rents top 22 percent of median income. In Los Angeles County, median rents are just short of half of the median income, 47 percent.

Californians are losing their homes at a faster rate than government and social services can put homeless people into housing. According to LAHSA statistics, in Los Angeles County alone, 207 people each day find their way out of homelessness, either on their own or with government help. But also every day, on average, 227 people in the county lose their homes.

Newsom summed up the crisis most succinctly, after his experience as mayor of San Francisco when he made initial inroads against homelessness, seeing a 30 percent drop in that city after his first year in office—only to see the numbers stall out with no further progress over the remainder of his two terms.

“It’s the manifestation of complete, abject failure as a society,” Newsom said, a few years after leaving the mayor’s office. “We’ll never solve this at City Hall.”